- Source
TRACKING THE FOUNDER OF GOLDMONEY, SILVER & GOLD VIGILANTE, JAMES TURK - AN UNOFFICIAL EDITING OF HIS INVESTMENT COMMENTARY
Saturday, February 20, 2016
Inevitable Collapse Of The Dollar
Monday, February 15, 2016
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Friday, February 5, 2016
2016 Gold and Silver Impact Outlook
- Source
Monday, February 1, 2016
Saturday, January 9, 2016
Hyperinflation and the Destruction of the US Dollar
In short, higher interest rates are the path to hyperinflation and the destruction of the dollar. Fed officials undoubtedly understand this. So do not be surprised if the Fed leaves interest rates unchanged. But if the Fed does hike rates, expect its announcement to be extremely dovish.
The Fed might leave the lower range of the federal funds rate unchanged at 0, increasing only the top range to half a percent. In addition, there will be a lot of post-announcement dovish speak to try to talk the stock market higher.
The Fed might leave the lower range of the federal funds rate unchanged at 0, increasing only the top range to half a percent. In addition, there will be a lot of post-announcement dovish speak to try to talk the stock market higher.
- Source James Turk via KWN
Monday, January 4, 2016
Why The FED Should Not Raise Rates Further
When it comes to credit, they are called “junk bonds” for a reason. These are bonds of companies that rest on a knife-edge between solvency and bankruptcy. The slightest hiccup can create a disaster for these companies, so oil companies that borrowed excessively thinking that crude oil prices would never fall below $60 a barrel are suffering the consequences.
What is worse is that credit deterioration is seeping into the banking system. Today Wells Fargo Bank said that “stresses” are building in its portfolio of loans to energy companies because of the drop in the price of oil, which is another reason the Fed may choose to avoid hiking rates.
The best reason for the Fed not to raise rates is the U.S. government’s own debt load. This is why I have been saying for years that rates will never go up. The U.S. government has so much debt it cannot afford to pay a fair rate of interest.
What is worse is that credit deterioration is seeping into the banking system. Today Wells Fargo Bank said that “stresses” are building in its portfolio of loans to energy companies because of the drop in the price of oil, which is another reason the Fed may choose to avoid hiking rates.
The best reason for the Fed not to raise rates is the U.S. government’s own debt load. This is why I have been saying for years that rates will never go up. The U.S. government has so much debt it cannot afford to pay a fair rate of interest.
- Source, James Turk via King World News
Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Credit Market Carnage And The Big Surprise For This Week
“We have finally reached that moment, Eric, when the Fed will announce whether it is going to raise U.S. dollar interest rates, which have remained unchanged for seven years. The announcement will be made Wednesday afternoon at the conclusion of the Fed’s two-day meeting…
Through the release of the minutes from the Fed’s previous meetings as well as its numerous public pronouncements over the past several weeks, Fed officials have indicated that rates will rise by 25 basis points (0.25 percent). But there are still good reasons to believe that the Fed will again choose to keep interest rates unchanged with its target Fed funds range remaining at 0-0.25 percent."
Through the release of the minutes from the Fed’s previous meetings as well as its numerous public pronouncements over the past several weeks, Fed officials have indicated that rates will rise by 25 basis points (0.25 percent). But there are still good reasons to believe that the Fed will again choose to keep interest rates unchanged with its target Fed funds range remaining at 0-0.25 percent."
- Source, James Turk via King World News
Saturday, December 26, 2015
Monday, December 21, 2015
Monday, November 30, 2015
Is The Global House Of Cards Finally Going To Collapse?
After the panic low in the stock market on Monday, August 24, traders were hoping for a “V” bottom , and stocks did bounce back quickly for a couple of days, But since then stocks have not made any progress and are again turning over. This action suggests that August low is going to re-tested. If that low does not hold, there could be a bloodbath.
Sometimes stocks become overpriced relative to their true underlying value, and sometimes we see the reverse. When stock prices are undervalued, the equity ownership conveyed by the stock is worth more than the price. The important point is that most investors do not factor into their economic calculations when evaluating stocks whether the dollar — the measuring stick — is itself overvalued or undervalued.
Sometimes stocks become overpriced relative to their true underlying value, and sometimes we see the reverse. When stock prices are undervalued, the equity ownership conveyed by the stock is worth more than the price. The important point is that most investors do not factor into their economic calculations when evaluating stocks whether the dollar — the measuring stick — is itself overvalued or undervalued.
- James Turk via a recent King World News interview
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
Trouble For The U.S. Dollar
So will the dollar tank and remove some of the selling pressure on stocks? Or will a dollar rally make stocks look even more overvalued and increase the selling pressure?
If history is any guide, I expect the former. For decades the Fed has trashed the dollar in an attempt to paper over declining living standards to keep the U.S.welfare state afloat. Expect more of the same.
For this reason I do not think the air pocket the precious metals yesterday is a reason for concern. Gold in dollar terms is down 4 percent this year, but I expect gold to post a gain this year when the counting is done in three months.
If history is any guide, I expect the former. For decades the Fed has trashed the dollar in an attempt to paper over declining living standards to keep the U.S.
For this reason I do not think the air pocket the precious metals yesterday is a reason for concern. Gold in dollar terms is down 4 percent this year, but I expect gold to post a gain this year when the counting is done in three months.
- Source, James Turk via King World News
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