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Saturday, March 8, 2014

Bitcoin is For Real

Throughout that boom and bust, Bitcoin retained a core user base that saw its possibilities and worked to overcome its flaws by developing point-of-sale hardware and online merchant services while lessening its dependence on a small number of exchanges.

And then, just when the outside world had stopped paying attention, Bitcoin recovered. From under $20 at the beginning of 2013 it rose to $240, crashed to below $100, and then in one dramatic arc soared to more than $1,000. In early 2014 Bitcoin's market value exceeded $10 billion and the number of merchants willing to accept it was soaring. The market appears to have spoken: Bitcoin is for real.

- Source James Turk:


Thursday, March 6, 2014

Bitcoin Revolution or Trap?

In 2008, a mysterious person or group using the apparent pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto unveiled a new digital currency called Bitcoin that appeared to solve some of its predecessors' problems. Without going too deeply into the technical details, the Bitcoin system tracks each piece of currency from buyer to seller, eliminating the possibility of one person spending the same piece of currency multiple times before the counterparties catch on. The network is distributed, with no central clearinghouse or bank holding everyone's money and imposing rules. "Miners" create more Bitcoins by solving complex algorithms to add more Bitcoin to the system, with the difficulty of the number crunching increasing as the quantity of Bitcoin grows, thus keeping their supply rising at a steady, predetermined rate until it reaches is a preordained limit of 21 million a century or so hence.

Bitcoins, which are a long string of alphanumeric characters, can be stored in a variety of places, from a digital "wallet" on a desktop computer to a centralized service in the cloud, or even completely off-grid by being printed on a piece of paper. And because it operates over peer-to-peer networks similar to those used by techies and teens to download music and videos, it bypasses the established banking/regulatory system, making it, at least initially, free of government oversight.

Nakamoto, whoever he (or she, they) was, disappeared in 2010. But by then the Bitcoin community had taken on a life of its own. Hundreds of users began to mine Bitcoins with increasingly sophisticated computers, and the number of merchants and individuals willing to accept, store, and transact in the currency rose steadily.

As the buzz grew louder, the small community of techie/libertarian early adopters was joined by traders sensing a serious momentum play. The dollar price of a Bitcoin rose from 5 cents in early 2010 to 36 cents in November. In February 2011 it briefly achieved parity with the dollar, and when a Forbes Magazine ran a favorable story that called it a "crypto currency," the price went parabolic, to nearly $9. More breathless press ensued, sending the price to $27 and putting the market value of Bitcoins in circulation at $130 million.

On the Internet's black market - the network of sites only accessible to computers running anonymizing software such as Tor - Bitcoin was rapidly becoming the preferred form of money. This drew the ire of the establishment, with US Senator Charles Schumer demanding the closure of online drug emporium Silk Road and describing Bitcoin as "an online form of money-laundering."

At about the same time, Bitcoin's Achilles heel became apparent, which is that it has to be stored somewhere, and no place is 100 percent secure. Bitcoins stored on a desktop can be wiped out by a crashed hard drive. Backed up on other storage media, they're vulnerable to hackers. Kept in an online storage service - which sounds like a bank but has no deposit insurance or even physical reality - they can disappear without a trace. Traded on an online exchange they can likewise simply disappear, with no recourse to former owners.

As Bitcoin rose in value the number of high-profile crimes and crashes rose apace. A Tokyo-based exchange was hacked and lost numerous client accounts. A Poland-based storage service accidentally overwrote its customer records. A West Indian storage service simply shut down, and its owner disappeared. And viruses aimed at Bitcoin caches proliferated. Newcomers, meanwhile, discovered that working with Bitcoin required skills not yet common among the non-techie 99 percent. The press turned scornful, and a consensus formed that the concept was fatally flawed and without much of a future.

- James Turk via the Market Oracle:


Monday, March 3, 2014

The Digital Liberation of Money

In the Internet's early days there was general agreement that one of the first killer apps would be some form of cyber-currency. Since money was already largely non-corporeal, existing as entries in bank accounts and ready to spend with plastic cards, the next logical step would be to move the whole thing online and dispense with paper and coins and their costly and burdensome infrastructure of banks, regulators and printing presses. The emergence of such currencies would, in this optimistic scenario, consign relics like the dollar and the Fed to history's circular file and usher in an era of trust, stability, and growth similar to what occurred under the classical gold standard.

But the digital liberation of money turned out to be easier said than done, as the first wave of cyber-currencies came and went without much of an impact. eCash, for instance, was an encrypted, anonymous payment system that allowed anyone anywhere to send and receive instant payments. But it relied on the existing banking infrastructure, and because "anonymous" meant "money laundering" to the police, it faced extreme pushback from authorities who viewed such currencies as primarily empowering drug dealers - and from banks that saw no point in encouraging the competition. Only one small bank ever accepted eCash, and the currency died a quiet death a few years after its introduction.

A larger impact was made by e-gold, which offered accounts denominated in grams of gold from which owners could make and receive payments. It generated some buzz, peaking at five million users and $2 million of transactions in 2009. But here again, the fact that much of this action was apparently money laundering by parties with good reason to stay anonymous led to legal pressure that eventually led to its failure.

James' company, GoldMoney, was originally designed to operate as a gold-based payment system based on several digital currency patents. It avoided the money laundering stigma by requiring users to register under their own names, and also met with early enthusiasm. But other logistical and legal barriers proved to be insurmountable, and GoldMoney's payment system was deemphasized in favor of offshore gold storage. By the late 2000s, purely digital currencies looked, to most observers, like a near-impossibility in a world where governments and banks had the power to prevent such competition.

- Source, James Turk via the Market Oracle:


Friday, February 28, 2014

Central Planners are Playing Defense and Letting Gold Move Higher

We are now seeing the managed retreat that always occurs when the central planners defensive line is overpowered. Gold’s enemies - the central planners and their bullion bank cohorts that act as agents for the central planners - need to step back and let gold climb higher. But the key question is where will they step in again in an attempt to hold the line and thwart gold’s advance?

The logical price level is $1,350, but they may even try to step in here at $1,300. We are seeing some heavy handed selling at current levels. Hundred dollar levels are also key points where short-term traders will often take some profit. Also, gold’s important 200-day moving average, which has been declining since April of last year, is presently $1,304. So bumping up that price level may induce some profit taking at this important technical hurdle.

- James Turk via King World News:

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Return to Gold Invevitable

An expert in gold has forecast that the true worth of gold will be recognised far more if the money bubble pops in 2014.

“The writing is on the wall for the dollar and other currencies. The monetary system is breaking down and central banks are serving their own interests. The return to gold is inevitable,” Jersey-based company GoldMoney founder and director James Turk said at the Investing in African Mining Indaba on Monday.

He told thousands of delegates on the first day of the summit in Cape Town that central banks had been unable to maintain the buying power of different currencies around the world.

“Gold is being saved, not being used as currency. With the way things are today, we will eventually go back to a place where stocks are cheap and gold becomes expensive.

“What we see today is boom and bust cycles. Banks extend credit until they’ve blown too much money. But as JP Morgan said before Congress in 1912, ‘Money is gold and nothing else’. What was true then remains true today.”

Turk said despite its setback in 2013, gold was holding its own against the world’s nine major currencies since the year 2000.

“One bad year after 12 is not the end of the world.”

- Source, Mining Weekly:


Saturday, February 22, 2014

No U.S Economic Recovery Says James Turk


Kitco News speaks with author James Turk about gold, silver, the U.S. dollar and his latest book The Money Bubble. Turk says that in 2014 people need to keep a close eye on these three factors: the Federal Reserve balance sheet, the 10-year T-bill rate and the gold-to-silver ratio. "I don't really see an economic recovery in the U.S.," Turk says. "I do expect a collapse of the American currency." He says that as central bankers continue to print money, currencies continue to be debased and this may cause a currency collapse. "As long as central banks continue to print, and I see no indication they're going to stop, you're going to see a higher gold price," Turk says. "Whether you see it this year or next year is not the relevance thing, it is whether or not you own enough physical metal to protect yourself when currencies do collapse." Tune in now to learn more about his latest book and where he expects to see the price of gold and silver.

- Source, Kitco:


Wednesday, February 19, 2014

The Backwardation in Gold is Incredible

I expect to see more short covering. The shorts must be frantic by now, given gold’s huge price advance over the past couple of weeks and the collapse of the central planners efforts to hold $1,250. In fact, this year has been great so far, with gold off to a wonderful start. It has nearly climbed a spectacular $100 already this year.

Most of the attention is being given to gold, rather than silver, and that is understandable, Eric. The squeeze in physical metal is mainly happening in gold so far, which as we speak is still in backwardation. This backwardation is remarkable given gold’s price advance. It shows that holders of physical gold have not been sufficiently enticed to sell and hold dollars or some other national currency instead. It is a sign that gold remains firmly in strong hands, and these gold owners see gold’s upside potential.

Even though gold is stealing the show so far this year, do not overlook silver. It looks ready to catch up. The gold/silver ratio peaked above 65 at the end of January, and has been gently declining since then. It is now under 64. When silver huddles above resistance around $20.25 to $20.40, its upside advance will likely gain some momentum, resulting in silver’s outperformance and an accelerating decline in the gold/silver ratio.

- James Turk via a recent King World News interview, read more here:


Sunday, February 16, 2014

Physical Silver vs. Paper Silver


David Morgan and James Turk discuss paper versus physical silver and backwardation.

- Source, Gold Money:

http://www.goldmoney.com/

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Gold Price Manipulation


James Turk, founder of GoldMoney.com, and Michael Maloney of GoldSilver.com discuss Gata.org, IMF gold and the possibility of gold prices being manipulated.

- Source, Gold Money:

Monday, February 10, 2014

A New Currency & Revaluing Gold Reserves


Chris Powell, Secretary/Treasurer of http://gata.org, is asked by James Turk, Director of The GoldMoney Foundation and Founder of GoldMoney if we're heading towards a monetary train wreck. Chris expects the central banks to mobilize gold back into the monetary system. This would perhaps mean a new currency arrangement and a revaluation of the gold reserves.

- Source, Gold Money:

Friday, February 7, 2014

We're Living Within A Money Bubble of Epic Proportion


James Turk believes the time we live in now will be studied by future historians for generations to come. Just as we today marvel at the collective madness that resulted in the South Sea and Dutch tulip manias, our age will be known as the era when society lost sight of what money really is.

And as result, the wrong kinds of wealth -- today, that's mostly financial assets -- are valued and pursued. And just like those bubbles from centuries ago, when the current asset boom goes bust, the value of paper wealth will vaporize.

In contrast, those holding tangible productive assets or real money will fare much better on a relative basis.

- Source, Peak Prosperity:


Tuesday, February 4, 2014

James Turk on Fiat Money


It's inevitable you are going to see bail-ins as we go forward from here because the capital just doesn't exist.